Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 82506.263364 87102.033119 91697.537724 96634.314987 101784.335072 106995.061406 112662.400390
2025-03-02 74560.616979 81570.382635 88778.045111 96732.915823 105255.907954 114103.286315 123971.321214
2025-03-09 69786.214315 78510.420870 87678.014327 98008.699002 109304.577886 121259.104296 134845.539504
2025-03-16 65077.821948 74979.704474 85578.572178 97732.998525 111250.294916 125786.078368 142562.600860
2025-03-23 62351.699353 73325.499331 85258.611163 99147.983023 114817.086247 131893.494995 151856.287704
2025-03-30 59742.495894 71578.549843 84634.719463 100035.917043 117634.048228 137041.913086 159988.488213
2025-04-06 57029.320772 69530.673664 83506.027365 100197.319588 119495.641268 141011.600440 166714.653873
2025-04-13 54490.669727 67537.038105 82305.654963 100149.931056 121008.343833 144498.869393 172828.466453
2025-04-20 53071.942444 66763.961559 82439.595791 101577.581499 124167.716261 149836.850176 181054.869263
2025-04-27 51758.323163 66036.595583 82559.129461 102929.383227 127195.122606 154999.178359 189078.635261
2025-05-04 50191.964289 64927.457863 82157.731055 103603.154979 129376.540857 159146.033372 195908.649522
2025-05-11 48387.880154 63451.946660 81248.130327 103604.982350 130706.612940 162255.503151 201499.062462
2025-05-18 46918.320911 62353.333947 80771.979873 104121.754848 132665.266800 166144.435351 208081.271145
2025-05-25 45346.307619 61071.167215 80023.734251 104266.675489 134147.330794 169455.089005 213985.540248
2025-06-01 44478.554309 60635.948943 80287.840368 105630.885758 137101.453451 174536.889199 222041.659709
2025-06-08 42870.859460 59201.451924 79255.616665 105339.735658 137984.612967 177088.273588 227028.046937
2025-06-15 42201.090525 58941.952665 79674.319512 106843.600494 141079.360686 182337.962901 235322.849383
2025-06-22 41316.481061 58368.856354 79666.693492 107787.026202 143462.809537 186716.374566 242569.142138
2025-06-29 40135.426107 57367.061222 79075.912070 107958.507930 144854.876091 189861.458407 248300.795431
2025-07-06 38918.589029 56278.395001 78337.411060 107908.169201 145941.143836 192612.468490 253543.313370
2025-07-13 38433.165412 56146.172453 78823.862155 109424.691945 149015.672649 197851.447531 261908.132057
2025-07-20 37939.578904 55983.228590 79255.142071 110860.420713 151986.979498 202973.225946 270155.876598
2025-07-27 37174.924513 55426.866124 79147.370412 111575.943818 154023.954743 206920.807740 276946.117039